Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.280483 0.321835 0.366222 0.417299 0.474333 0.535940 0.607401
2025-12-07 0.208257 0.262852 0.326171 0.404557 0.498479 0.606866 0.740837
2025-12-14 0.161480 0.223196 0.300170 0.402070 0.532124 0.691152 0.898735
2025-12-21 0.124348 0.187879 0.272883 0.392768 0.554967 0.763978 1.050367
2025-12-28 0.103869 0.170321 0.265076 0.406440 0.607656 0.878827 1.265876
2026-01-04 0.087609 0.155355 0.257937 0.419153 0.659469 0.996595 1.495460
2026-01-11 0.072334 0.138650 0.245169 0.421180 0.695287 1.094509 1.705265
2026-01-18 0.059851 0.123810 0.232565 0.421037 0.726808 1.187818 1.914853
2026-01-25 0.049557 0.110517 0.220086 0.418823 0.753931 1.275710 2.121943
2026-02-01 0.041366 0.099297 0.209153 0.417238 0.781036 1.364655 2.335824
2026-02-08 0.034630 0.089403 0.198856 0.414999 0.806087 1.451312 2.550983
2026-02-15 0.028813 0.080058 0.187939 0.409875 0.825024 1.528596 2.755284
2026-02-22 0.025059 0.074595 0.184037 0.417745 0.868231 1.650232 3.041421
2026-03-01 0.020844 0.066941 0.174273 0.412837 0.887529 1.732567 3.267797
2026-03-08 0.017859 0.061621 0.168631 0.415392 0.920786 1.841119 3.544830
2026-03-15 0.014810 0.055233 0.159387 0.409059 0.936044 1.918445 3.772424
2026-03-22 0.013454 0.053380 0.160568 0.425363 0.997337 2.082812 4.161407
2026-03-29 0.012167 0.051372 0.161015 0.440002 1.056359 2.246443 4.557580
2026-04-05 0.010541 0.047754 0.156679 0.443036 1.091449 2.367140 4.882394
2026-04-12 0.009054 0.044102 0.151560 0.443480 1.120893 2.478576 5.195699
2026-04-19 0.007709 0.040476 0.145805 0.441545 1.144816 2.580445 5.496072
2026-04-26 0.006581 0.037251 0.140558 0.440130 1.169570 2.685125 5.806589
2026-05-03 0.005601 0.034230 0.135305 0.437943 1.192213 2.786625 6.115657